Although concerns persist regarding tariffs and the US budget deficit, many key high-frequency indicators still indicate ...

Official recession calls are the responsibility of the NBER Business Cycle Dating Committee, which is understandably vague ...

A common definition of a recession is two straight quarters of negative economic growth. But that’s an inherently backward ...

Recession indicators are everywhere, but will they all amount to a hill of beans?

Investors have long searched for economic clues in unconventional data. The TikTok generation is taking it to the next level.

The hemline index links skirt length to economic trends, but in 2025, its reliability as a recession indicator is ...

US consumers went on a shopping spree earlier in the year to get ahead of tariff-induced price hikes, but that tailwind is ...

Doug Ramsey says deteriorating consumer sentiment is a sign that the US risks a "self-fulfilling confidence collapse." ...

Recession indicators are everywhere, but will they all amount to a hill of beans? Americans are on the lookout for signs of a recession. The signs have been with us, depending on whom you ask ...

The GDP, the labor market and consumer confidence all offer measures to tell whether the U.S. economy is close to a recession ...

"The risk of a U.S. recession is 50-50, it's that close." Here's a look at what some closely-watched indicators say about global recession risks. A disconnect between so-called soft economic ...

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